Duration & Credit Pulse: October 5, 2025
Government Shutdown October 2025: Treasury Yields Fall as Jobs Data Vanishes | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending October 5, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: The government shutdown beginning October 1 collided with deteriorating labor market data, creating an unprecedented policy vacuum as the September jobs report vanished and ADP showed […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: September 28, 2025
Fed Rate Cut September 2025: Treasury Yields Rise Despite 25bp Easing | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending September 28, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: The Federal Reserve’s first rate cut in September 2025 triggered a paradoxical fixed income response, with Treasury yields climbing despite the 25 basis point easing to […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: September 21, 2025
Fed Rate Cut September 2025: Treasury Yields Rise Despite First Easing | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending September 21, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: The Federal Reserve’s first rate cut in over four years delivered a 25 basis point reduction on September 17, yet Treasury yields paradoxically surged higher with […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: September 14, 2025
Jobless Claims 263,000: Fed Pivot Imminent as Labor Market Cracks | Duration & Credit Pulse – September 14, 2025 Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending September 14, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: Jobless claims surging to 263,000—the highest since October 2021—definitively shifted the Federal Reserve narrative from inflation vigilance to employment rescue, with markets pricing […]
Duration & Credit Report: September 7, 2025
Jobs Report September 2025: Treasury Yields Collapse as 22K Payrolls Shock Markets | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending September 7, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: The shocking August jobs report September 2025 delivered just 22,000 payrolls versus 75,000 expected, triggering the most dramatic Treasury rally since the banking crisis as […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: August 31, 2025
Jackson Hole 2025: Fed Signals September Rate Cut as Treasury Curve Steepens | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending August 31, 2025 At A Glance THEME Jackson Hole Pivot KEY MOVE 2Y Yield -8bp to 3.62% RISK SIGNAL 30Y at 96th Percentile OUTLOOK 91% Sept Cut Priced Executive Summary Bottom Line: […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: August 24, 2025
Jackson Hole 2025: Fed Pivots as Treasury Yields Drop 7bp | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending August 24, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole 2025 speech fundamentally shifted fixed income markets, driving 10-year Treasury yields down 6.4 basis points for the week as markets priced an […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: August 17, 2025
Jackson Hole 2025 Anticipation: Treasury Yields Rise as Credit Spreads Compress | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending August 17, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: With just 5 days until Powell’s critical Jackson Hole address, fixed income markets exhibited extreme divergences that cannot persist. Treasury yields rose modestly as resilient consumer […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: August 10, 2025
Treasury Yields August 2025: 30-Year Hits 94th Percentile as Fed Pivot Expectations Build | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending August 10, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: Treasury yields August 2025 dynamics revealed extreme valuations with the 30-year bond reaching its 94th percentile while credit spreads compressed to multi-year tights, creating […]
Duration & Credit Pulse: August 3, 2025
FOMC July 2025: Historic Fed Dissent Triggers Treasury Rally as Jobs Data Shocks Markets | Duration & Credit Pulse Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending August 3, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: The FOMC July 2025 meeting delivered an unprecedented moment with the first dual Fed governor dissent since 1993, as Bowman and Waller voted […]
