December Fed Rate Cut 2025: Yields Rise & Credit Spreads Tighten

Financial dashboard visualization by Mariemont Capital showing ADP job loss of 32K, 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.14%, High Yield spreads at the 5th percentile, and an 87% probability of a December Fed rate cut in 2025.

December Fed Rate Cut 2025: Treasury Yields Rise as Markets Price 87% Cut Probability | Mariemont Capital Duration & Credit Pulse Week Ending December 7, 2025 Executive Summary Bottom Line: Mixed labor market signals dominated the week as ADP reported a 32,000 job contraction while initial jobless claims fell to a three-year low of 191,000. […]